I'm putting this in here too, it's a post I've done in the coronavirus discussion thread at the end of april
here's a theory - based on an 'all going well' scenario
- mid may life slowly returns to ibiza with shops and first outdoor terraces of bars/restaurants opening
- by mid june beaches are open and more places can open more of their shop/restaurant surfaces
- by the end of june or start of july, all spanish territories are through the four phases and national tourism resumes. around the same dates the situation in lots of european countries has improved massively and EU decides to wait just a little more and then joint-open frontiers and airspaces at the end of july
- first clubs might open in july, but it's in august when thanks to international travel the season properly gets going and more clubs open
- season until halloween or later
I won't take it badly if in a few weeks you'll tell me I was wrong, but what if I'm right?
I'll point out again that this is very much a best case scenario and any setback (second waves) might quickly end our hopes for a bit of season. but as of today, I am still hopeful that tourism will return in the second part of summer. the one thing I'm unsurprisingly least convinced about is the clubbing bit.