Zero chance we get to herd immunity without a vaccine. You need 85-90 of the population immune, which would mean 250 million infected. Even at a 1% mortality rate that'd be 2.5 million dead in the US alone. It's definitely going to burn through the old and stupid first, at least until we have a coherent federal response.We will see about the trip, just need a week's heads up to arrange flights, as long as prices dont get silly. May even push to September if it makes sense.
Beyond a total shutdown there is nothing that will stop this bug, apparently. We dont have hard borders between states, so it was just a matter of time before it spread out. I have in-laws in Argentina that are in total lock-down (no travel between neighborhoods) which may be controlling the spread, but would cause a hot war in the US. In the tiny territory where I live we have had fewer than 100 cases out of 100K population, but will expect a spike as we re-open for tourism... I honestly expect the same for the EU in July/ August. It will be interesting to see what their pain threshold is.
Thankfully it does not look nearly as lethal as it did previously (hope that theory holds for the folks in TX and AZ, and everywhere else).
Maybe USA will be the first nation with herd-immunity!!!! Current estimates from blood-banks and sewage treatment centers assume that 20 million have already been exposed to this.
CDC says COVID-19 cases in U.S. may be 10 times higher than reported
The estimate comes from a nationwide look at antibody tests.www.nbcnews.com
Are the USVI open for tourists yet? At least you dont have to worry about cruise lines docking.