On one level a lot of what Elrow has written, I find myself agreeing with. This is due to being a cold hearted statistician and healthcare modeller professionally (although not in infectious disease). One of the issues with covid being so widespread in the UK is there will be outliers, and children with no underlying health issues dying are just that. However, we don’t live in a world of numbers and data, and hopefully most of us live in a world that we can show empathy with the tragic loss that so many people are dealing with.
There’s also another dimension Elrow, that you’ve missed, that’s the notion of people getting it ‘mildly’. My wife had what we think was the virus (she’s ok now), but it was vicious. In 20 years together, I’ve never seen her that ill. Fortunately it didn’t spread to her lungs or anything like that. Still it was far worse than flu. So, I don’t think the governments around the world are overreacting. No one should be unnecessarily exposed to it.
What we have is a nasty virus that yes, many might not get ill from, least of all me as I’ve had no symptoms, I’ve probably technically had it though. Many others will have the worst virus they’ve probably ever had (note, these people aren’t counted as even positive in UK stats as they’re not tested). Another cohort that can’t fight it off at home will need hospital care, now this cohort is really sick, and of which numerous numbers will lose their battle. The fact that new hospitals are needed around the world tells us how large this cohort is. It’s only this hospital cohort that’s counted as having it. How many people around the UK are really unwell with it laid low in bed? Probably tens of thousands.
Not wanting to pick on Elrow, but this can’t be looked at just through mortality figures. It’s far more complex a situation than arguing that only X deaths have occurred so we can all now go and have a barbecue. If you or a loved one Elrow catches it (hope of course they don’t) you’ll see what I mean.